Pages

Monday, September 20, 2010

Ajarn Forum Highlights - Living and Teaching In Thailand

Ajarn Forum Highlights - Living and Teaching In Thailand

Thailand Exports Rise for 10th Consecutive Month, Weathering Baht Strength - Bloomberg

Thailand Exports Rise for 10th Consecutive Month, Weathering Baht Strength - Bloomberg

SE Asia Stocks-Indonesia at record high, Bangkok recovers | Reuters

SE Asia Stocks-Indonesia at record high, Bangkok recovers | Reuters
* Thai central bank comments on baht policy soothe fears
* Inflows push Indonesia to record high
* Singapore recovers, around 2-year highs

China Reawakens Trans-Asian Railway Ambitions | Manila Bulletin

China Reawakens Trans-Asian Railway Ambitions | Manila Bulletin

BANGKOK (dpa) – Plans to link mainland Asia by railway have been around for decades.

In 1960, the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia Pacific (ESCAP) initiated the Trans-Asian Railway project to establish a 114,000-kilometre rail network between Asia and Europe.

The project was derailed by wars in Indochina, the Cultural Revolution in China and a lack of finance for Asian mega-projects.

The scheme was given a new shot in the arm, on paper anyway, in 2006 when 22 Asian governments signed a deal to cooperate on the rail link. That agreement finally went into effect in June last year after China ratified it.

More significant than the agreement itself has been China’s push to turn the rail network dream into reality, especially in South- East Asia, which accounts for the lion’s share of the 8,000 kilometers of “missing links.”

Thailand and China this year started talks about constructing a high-speed standard-gauge 850-kilometer new rail link from Nong Khai, on the Thai-Lao border, to Bangkok. A second 1,000-kilometre line, between Bangkok and Padang Besar, on the Thai-Malaysian border, would be built later.

The two lines would cost an estimated 300 billion baht ($9.7 billion).

“The Chinese government believes this can be implemented within three years,” Thai Finance Minister Korn Chatikavanich said. “If there is any delay, I suspect it will be at our end, not theirs,” he said.

One foreseeable obstacle is the State Railways of Thailand (SRT), which runs the country’s existing rail network at a massive loss. It is highly politicized, prone to strikes and historically opposed to any attempts at privatization.

“If the SRT is given no role in the project, I will oppose it as an advisor to the SRT labor union and the head of the New Politics Party,” said Somsak Kosaisuk, a politician who formerly headed the SRT's labor union.

Another likely problem for the Thai-China rail project is the Lao link.

Having a high-speed rail link between Nong Khai and Bangkok makes little economic sense unless there is a similar link between Laos and southern China. Such a link is under discussion.

In August, senior railway officials from China visited Vientiane to discuss the project with the Lao Railway Authority, which manages the country's current rail network – a 3.5-kilometer link between the Thai-Laos Friendship Bridge and Dongphosy town, outside Vientiane.

China and Laos have signed an agreement to conduct a feasibility study on a medium high-speed (200-kilometre-per-hour) rail link between Boten, Luang Namtha province, and Vientiane, a distance of about 400 kilometers. The link would provide a connection for freight and passengers with Kunming, the capital of China’s Yunnan province.

The cost of construction would be prohibitive.

“I understand they are looking at three different routes but all of them would be mountainous, and potentially very expensive,” said one Vientiane-based aid expert.

“But the Lao government is taking the project extremely seriously, as part of their aim to turn Laos from a landlocked to land-linked country,” he added.

A lot will depend on whether Laos sees sufficient economic returns from the railway for providing the link between its two economically much more active neighbors, China and Thailand.

“Laos is the weakest but most important link,” said Nipon Poapongsakorn, president of the Thailand Development Research Institute, a think tank. “Unless there is a benefit for Laos it will just become a transit for goods and passengers. What will they get from this program other than pollution?”

OfficialWire: Thailand Real Estate Report Q4 2010 - New Market Report Published

OfficialWire: Thailand Real Estate Report Q4 2010 - New Market Report
The recent political instability has been and is likely to remain, bad news for Thailand's economy. BMI is looking for GDP to start rising again in 2010, after contracting by around 3% during 2009. However, this growth is being driven by government consumption (thanks to the 'Strong Thailand 2012' stimulus package) and, probably, greater household spending. We note that measured unemployment remains low, but caution that this may be depressed by numbers of otherwise jobless industrial workers who have returned to work in their home villages in rural Thailand. Meanwhile, foreign investor sentiment towards the country remains bleak.

Even if there were no political crisis, the various protagonists in Thailand's commercial real estate sector would face challenging times. The basic problem, affecting all three sub-sectors, is one of gross oversupply of rentable space relative to demand. Our sources indicate that the vacancy rate in Bangkok's office sub-sector is around 35%. The city's luxury hotels face competition from condominiums that have been converted into Serviced Apartments. Elsewhere, the effective supply of office space has been swollen by businesses operating from homes.

Meanwhile, new projects continue to be completed. The inescapable conclusion is that, in much of Thailand, pressure on commercial rents will continue to be downwards. Our in-country sources are looking for rental rates to increase by 5-10% in all sub-sectors over the coming year. We think that this is over-optimistic. Looking further, we anticipate that yields will rise as rents rise by more (or fall by less) than capital values. The divergent movements in yields in the three cities for which we have gathered data - Bangkok, Rayong and Pattaya-Chonburi - suggest that market participants are reacting in different ways to profoundly challenging conditions. Interviews with our in-country sources were conducted in late January and early February 2010, and again in mid-2010.

Key Features Of This Report

This is the latest edition of a new series of industry reports published by BMI that seeks to identify the key dynamics of the real estate sectors of 44 countries around the world, some of which are developed and some of which are, in every sense, emerging markets. Once again, the questions that we seek to answer for each country remain as follows: What are the main issues that will matter to actors in and around real estate development in the country concerned, both over the long and the short term? What are the main constraints that they face? What are the key insights that one garners when one compares the real estate sector of the country concerned with its peers in other countries?
Published

BERNAMA - MICC Looks At Stronger Trade Ties With Thailand

Thailand August Vehicle Output, Exports Rise On Year

Thailand August Vehicle Output, Exports Rise On Year
BANGKOK -(Dow Jones)- Thailand's vehicle production and exports continued to increase in August from a year earlier on the back of the improving economy, the Federation of Thai Industries said Thursday.

August vehicle output in Thailand, a regional manufacturing hub for many of the world's biggest automakers, shot up 67.6% on year to 141,043 units, the federation said in a statement.

The number of units exported in August was 77,750, up 80.4% on year, with increased shipments to every market.

The value of car, truck and bus exports--including detached engines and automotive parts--totaled THB51.96 billion ($1.68 billion) in August, a 54.5% rise from August last year.

If motorcycles and motorcycle parts were included, the total value of exports would have been THB55.21 billion, up 52.2% from a year earlier.

In the first eight months of this year, vehicle production surged 92.6% to 1.06 million units.

The federation forecast vehicle production will reach 426,354 units in the September to November period, up 25.6% on year but down 2.1% from the June to August period.

-By Bangkok Bureau; Dow Jones Newswires; 66 2 690 4200; djnews.bangkok@ dowjones.com



Read more: http://www.nasdaq.com/aspx/stock-market-news-story.aspx?storyid=201009160028dowjonesdjonline000004&title=thailand-august-vehicle-outputexports-rise-on-year#ixzz106YJ9mSt

New Market Research Report: Thailand Infrastructure Report Q4 2010

New Market Research Report: Thailand Infrastructure Report Q4 2010
Sep 20, 2010 – Despite the sensational scale of the government's clash with the United Front for Democracy Against Dictatorship (UDD), or the 'Red Shirts' as they are better-known, the Thai economy appears to have shrugged off the impact of the unrest within weeks. With the exception of those linked with the tourism sector, most industries - including the construction industry - have been largely unscathed by the April-June 2010 conflict on the face of it. Thailand's construction sector will follow the country's wider economy and exports, which have been growing strongly in recent months. The sector will have emerged from a two-year recession this year, after contracting by 5.35% in 2009 to THB244bn (US$7.12bn). BMI expects to see the sector grow by 1.17% in 2010 to THB253.7bn (US$7.65bn).