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Monday, September 27, 2010

Thailand Lifts Growth Forecast for Third Time as Export Growth Accelerates - Bloomberg

Thailand Lifts Growth Forecast for Third Time as Export Growth Accelerates - Bloomberg
Thailand’s Finance Ministry raised its 2010 economic growth forecast for the third time in six months after exports surged in the first half of the year and local demand recovered.

Gross domestic product may expand 7.3 percent to 7.8 percent in 2010, with a mid-point forecast of 7.5 percent, Satit Rungkasiri, head of the ministry’s Fiscal Policy Office, said today. The ministry in June raised the estimate to as much as 6 percent from a March projection of as much as 5 percent.

Surging overseas sales of electronics and automobiles helped Thailand’s economy expand 9.1 percent in the second quarter, exceeding economists’ forecasts. Satit warned that growth will slow in the second half as the baht strengthens against the dollar and the economic recovery falters in the U.S. and Europe, Thailand’s biggest export markets.

“The high GDP growth forecast for the full year mainly comes from the excellent performance in the first half,” said Pimonwan Mahujchariyawong, an economist at Kasikorn Research Ltd. in Bangkok. “But, the slowing global economy and the baht strength will weigh on the economy in the second half.”

Thailand’s economy will expand 6 percent in the third quarter and 3.3 percent in the last three months of 2010, Satit said. Exports are expected to expand by 25 percent this year and imports may grow 35.6 percent, the finance ministry estimates.

“Exports remain the key driver for the economy as they account for 60 percent of GDP,” Satit said at a briefing in Bangkok. “If economies of our trading partners slow, we will be affected. But, the effect will be less than before because we have diversified our exports to new markets.”

Export Growth Slows

Thailand’s exports increased 23.9 percent to $16.5 billion in August from a year earlier, after rising 20.6 percent in July and 46.3 percent in June, customs data show.

The baht may strengthen to 30 per dollar by the end of this year, Satit said. The central bank’s benchmark interest rate may rise to 2 percent over the same period and to 3 percent next year, from 1.75 percent now, Satit said.

The baht has advanced 8.8 percent this year against the dollar, the second best-performer among major currencies in Asia excluding the yen, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The currency gained 0.3 percent to 30.59 as of 12:12 p.m. in Bangkok and touched 30.58, the strongest level since August 1997.

“The impact will be felt in coming months,” Kasikorn Research’s Pimonwan said. “We don’t see it now because export orders are booked in advance, but new orders may suffer from price competitiveness. If the baht strengthens beyond 30 and the global economy remains weak, export growth in the fourth quarter may be lower than 10 percent.”

Rising Local Demand

The Bank of Thailand predicted in July that Southeast Asia’s largest economy after Indonesia will grow as much as 7.5 percent, which would be the fastest pace since 1995. The bank said on Aug. 31 the economy “still has growth momentum” in the second half as improving local demand will help offset slowing export growth.

Thailand’s consumer confidence climbed to a 28-month high in August, signaling a recovery in domestic spending, the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce said this month.

Local consumption will “recover strongly in the fourth quarter and help support growth,” Thanavath Phonvichai, an economist at the university, said on Sept. 9.

Investment in Thailand explained to US business community | Thailand Business News

Investment in Thailand explained to US business community | Thailand Business News

Thai Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva said he will explain investing in Thailand to a segment of the US businessp community, including the issues of the Map Ta Phut industrial projects and the 3G wireless service.

Mr Abhisit is attending the 65th United Nations General Assembly in New York from September 22-26.

The Thai prime minister was to meet representatives of US-ASEAN Business Council- USABC Thursday afternoon (New York time).


Asked about resolving the long-delayed launch of the 3G, the prime minister said service trials have been conducted by the operators. - Photographer attached to the Prime Minister of the Kingdom of Thailand : Peerapat Wimolrungkarat
Prior to the meeting,Mr Abhisit said that investors did not understand the legal problems related to suspending the Map Ta Phut Industries and the delayed 3G licence bidding and that they thought that government should get both plans moving ahead.

However, regarding the 3G bids, he said the Supreme Administrative Court upheld the ruling to suspend the auction and that the Telecommunications Commission (NTC) must comply with the court. In terms of policy, the government must speed up the bill that would eventually lead to forming the National Broadcasting and Telecommunications Commission (NBTC), which will be authorised to allocate the 3G spectrum, by the end of the year.

Asked about resolving the long-delayed launch of the 3G, the prime minister said service trials have been conducted by the operators. He assigned the ministries of finance, and of information and communication technology to review the possibility of more quickly applying the technology and converting the existing 2G concession contracts into 3G agreements pending the ruling of the Constitution Court.

via PM clarifies investment in Thailand with US business community.

In 2009, the Royal Thai Government continued to increase efforts on prevention and suppression of intellectual property violation. The profile of intellectual property has consistently been raised to a new plane as the administration led by Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva commits itself to the vision of turning the country into a creative and knowledge driven economy.

Thailand’s implementation on intellectual property rights in 2009 up to the beginning of 2010, a compilation of initiatives, activities and successes of Thailand in combating intellectual property rights violations is Thailand’s response to the comments by US industries submitted to the USTR regarding the intellectual property rights situation of the country in the past year.

The Proactive Plan on Prevention and Suppression of Intellectual Property Rights Violation,drafted in close consultation with relevant agencies, was endorsed by the Cabinet on 9 July 2009. The Plan prescribes actions to be taken within 2-6 months by different agencies (e.g., Royal Thai Police, Department of Special Investigation, Customs Department) in six areas as follows:

Law enforcement – promoting consistent suppression of rights violation
and integrated coordination between law enforcement agencies;
Enhancement of judicial process;
Improvement of patent registration process;
Curtailing rights infringement over the internet;
Legislative changes; and,
Cooperation with the private sector.
The law enforcement agencies namely the Department of Special Investigation, the Royal Thai Police and Customs Department have pursued aggressive raids, arrests, and seizures of infringing goods at borders and behind borders. The law enforcement agencies submit a daily report to the Chair of the Sub-Committee. The Sub-Committee reports to the Cabinet on a monthly basis. The Customs Department has created an Intellectual Property Rights Coordination Centre in the Investigation and Suppression Bureau to enhance coordination amongst various law enforcement agencies. The Centre and the Department of Special Investigation are establishing a private network linking databases to enable instant access to information to assist the investigations.

The government of Thailand is determined to curb corruption in government services.
A list of 41 police officers who took part or assisted in the violation of intellectual property rights has been submitted to the Deputy Prime Minister responsible for national security affairs. The case is under active investigation by the Royal Thai Police.

In December 2009, the Department of Intellectual Property opened HOT LINE 1368 as a new channel for direct reporting of suspicious activities or problematic situations which could involve IP infringement. Information boards were given to the Royal Thai Police for display in the red zone areas in order to promote public participation in the fight against all forms of IP infringement.

In line with the country’s Creative Economy Policy, promotion and protection of intellectual property have become central to economic policy making. It is believed that protecting theinterests of local and foreign rights holders would promote investor confidence, stimulates invention, innovation and creation of original works.

The Department of Intellectual Property has launched “STOP PIRACY” campaign as part of the efforts in response to the policy initiative by Deputy Minister Alongkorn. The main objective is to raise awareness amongst the general public and youth so that they understand the importance of respect for other people’s rights, by, for example, not selling, buying nor using infringing products.

The Department of Intellectual Property had brooches made to order, with the inscription “STOP PIRACY” in the Thai and the English languages and distributed them during different campaign activities

RESPONSES TO THE US CONCERNS ON COMPULSORY LICENSING, DATA PROTECTION, PATENT LINKAGE AND DELAY IN PATENT EXAMINATION
Since the announcement of the compulsory licensing for four cancer treatment medicines by the Ministry of Public Health in early 2008, only two have been enforced and the list has not been expanded since. The current administration has made it clear in various occasions that Thailand attaches high importance to close dialogue between stakeholders including the pharmaceutical industry, patients and government agencies to identify constructive ways and means to ensure continued supply and access to medicines. Thailand would like to underscore the fact that IP also has a social dimension which sometimes could be less compatible with market principles.

The case of compulsory licensing in Thailand is highly sensitive as it relates to the public health and access to medicines by patients suffering from life threatening diseases such as HIV/AIDS and cancer. The government has been handling this issue with great caution to ensure that any measures taken are in conformity with Thailand’s rights and obligations under the international agreements. In response to this, a four-party meeting was held at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in September 2009 to discuss a possible confidence building mechanism to enable constructive and regular exchanges between relevant government agencies and the pharmaceutical industry.

The meeting was attended by representatives from the Department of Intellectual Property, the Ministry of Public Health, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and PReMA. The Department of Intellectual Property itself has maintained close dialogue with PReMA. In the recent meeting on 24 December 2009, several issues were discussed such as CL, counterfeit drugs and trademarks, parallel imports.

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